Who will win 'The Traitors' Season 4? Betting odds reveal Rob Raush's chances against faithful

With the finale scheduled to air on Feb. 26, Rob Rausch and Eric Nam will face off against the faithful, and different odds will reveal their positions.
UPDATED FEB 20, 2026
Still of host Alan Cumming from 'The Traitors' Season 4  (Cover Image Source: Instagram | @thetraitorsus)
Still of host Alan Cumming from 'The Traitors' Season 4  (Cover Image Source: Instagram | @thetraitorsus)

The high-stakes journey of 'The Traitors' Season 4 is about to conclude, with the finale scheduled for Thursday, February 26. With Natalie Anderson and Kristen Kish being the latest faithfuls to be eliminated, the tension is through the roof. Just a week before the much-anticipated finale, the remaining traitors are Rob Rausch and new recruit Eric Nam, who are up against the faithfuls, Johnny Weir, Tara Lipinski, Mark Ballas, and Maura Higgins. Thanks to his strategic gameplay, Rausch is emerging as a top contender to lift the trophy. The 'Love Island' alum is trending as the most talked-about contestant of the season, and it's not just fans who think he could win, as Season 4 winner predictions and betting odds are naming him the strongest competitor to take the crown.

'The Traitors' Season 4 official poster featuring host Alan Cumming (Cover Image Source: Instagram | @thetraitorsus)
Still of host Alan Cumming from 'The Traitors' Season 4 (Image Source: Instagram | @thetraitorsus)

According to Polymarket betting odds, Rausch, who is also the last original traitor of the season, is the clear frontrunner with an 82% chance to win Season 4 (at the time of writing). Rausch's smart gameplay and strategic moves have not only made the game more exciting but also won over fans, who are clearly cheering him on. Time and again, he's been at the center of suspicion, yet he consistently outmaneuvers others and secures his position while skillfully eliminating the faithful. Nam, who was recently recruited as a traitor, has a 15% chance of winning Season 4. Like Rausch, Nam is playing it safe, using an under-the-radar approach to avoid drawing suspicion. 

Although his moves sometimes raise doubts among the faithful, he consistently deflects them successfully, thanks to his adaptability and ability to complement Rausch's strategies. The Olympic figure skater Weir, reality TV star Higgins, and professional dancer from 'Dancing With the Stars,' Ballas, are all struggling in 'The Traitors' Season 4. Their chances of winning are low, with Higgins, Weir, and Ballas each at 5%. As faithfuls, they must navigate the game carefully without drawing attention, making their path to victory much harder than for frontrunners like Rausch and Nam.

To add more, former Olympic figure skater and a faithful Lipinski, has just a 1% chance of winning Season 4. In the latest episode, Lipinski became the first to shift the focus from Anderson to Rausch. In the end, Anderson was eliminated, while Rausch advanced closer to the highly anticipated finale. As per the game's traditions, the full prize pot goes to either the faithful or the traitors. If the faithful eliminate all traitors before the finale, they split the money; if any traitors remain, they take the prize. Last season, four faithfuls shared the winnings, but with the current situation of 'The Traitors' Season 4, it appears the traitors are poised to win this time.

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