NFL 2021: What are the odds of Kansas City Chiefs winning Super Bowl?

NFL 2021: What are the odds of Kansas City Chiefs winning Super Bowl?
Tyrann Mathieu #32 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, in 2020 (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

The Kansas City Chiefs won more football games in 2020 than they'd ever won before. With an additional regular season game this year, fans are expecting the Missouri-based team to break the record again and commemorate the season with another victory.

Depending on the data one prefers, the Chiefs' over/under regular-season win total sits at 12 1/2 in the Las Vegas sportsbooks, shy of the 14-2 milestone they reached a year ago. Meanwhile, the game-by-game projections in the NFL's first slate look promising for the Chiefs. For now, they are also favorites to win the Super Bowl, according to The Kansas City Star.


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The first NFL slate features 17 games, and the Chiefs are favored in 16 of them. The other is a pick 'em. As noted by the Kansas City Star, the odds are sure to change, considering "some lines will grow, others will shrink and some might even flip from a favorite to an underdog." At the moment, however, the Chiefs are slated to be favorites in most of their games. The only time they will not be a favorite is when they visit Baltimore to face the Ravens in the second week. The odds are currently even.


Members of the Kansas City Chiefs before the start of a game against the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium on September 10, 2020, in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Considering, the Chiefs are also slated to enter the season as the Super Bowl favorites, listed at 5-to-1 to overturn last year’s result. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who beat the Chiefs in Super Bowl LV, is second on the sheet at 7-to-1. They are followed by the Bills (11-1), Rams (14-1), Ravens (14-1), Packers (14-1), and 49ers (14-1). The Chiefs, who are expected to at least reach a third straight Super Bowl, are also listed 2-to-1 to win the AFC. In that race, the Bills (7-1) are a distant second at 7-1.


The Chief's chances are reportedly even better in the AFC West, a division they have thoroughly dominated in recent seasons with five straight titles. According to The Kansas City Star, they are 1-3 in that race, meaning it would require $300 just to win $100. The rest of the group stands as follows: Chargers (9-2), Broncos (7-1), and Raiders (20-1). The odds further favor the Chiefs in terms of individual player accolades. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is currently on top of the MVP odds charts at 5-1, leaving the reigning winner, Aaron Rodgers, a distant second at 10-1.


Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs is introduced before the game against the New England Patriots at Arrowhead Stadium on October 05, 2020, in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

According to the newspaper, Vegas oddsmakers have envisioned the Chiefs' season per the following projected lines game by game:


Week 1: Browns at Chiefs (-6)
Week 2: Chiefs at Ravens (pick ‘em)
Week 3: Chargers at Chiefs (-7)
Week 4: Chiefs (-8) at Eagles
Week 5: Bills at Chiefs (-4 1/2)
Week 6: Chiefs (-6 1/2) at Washington Football Team
Week 7: Chiefs (-4 1/2) at Titans
Week 8: Giants at Chiefs (-10)
Week 9: Packers at Chiefs (-7)
Week 10: Chiefs (-7 1/2) at Raiders
Week 11: Cowboys at Chiefs (-7 1/2)
Week 12: Bye
Week 13: Broncos at Chiefs (-9 1/2)
Week 14: Raiders at Chiefs (-10 1/2)
Week 15: Chiefs (-6 1/2) at Chargers
Week 16: Steelers at Chiefs (-8 1/2)
Week 17: Chiefs (-7 1/2) at Bengals
Week 18: Chiefs (-3) at Broncos

Fans must also consider the Chiefs' homes schedule at Arrowhead Stadium this season, which may be more difficult than expected. They were favored in every game a year ago, except the finale when Mahomes and several starters took the week off. In 2020, however, only two of their nine home games featured a double-digit line. Regardless, the odds are bound to change with each performance, so stay tuned. 


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