Here are the top 5 House races you should watch out for in 2018

A total of 468 seats in the U.S. Congress (33 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) are up for elections on November 6, 2018.


                            Here are the top 5 House races you should watch out for in 2018

The Grand Old Party (GOP) is set for a tough battle in the year 2018, as the upcoming House of Representatives elections appears to be favoring the Democrats with the current trend and the stumbling popularity of President Donald Trump.

The year’s last polls saw the Republicans losing a major Senate seat in Alabama with Roy Moore’s loss in the diehard GOP state. As the Republicans kept a firm stance on supporting a toxic candidate besmirched with multiple sexual harassment allegations, it became clear that the GOP’s policies and agendas were becoming unpopular. The Republicans also lost Virginia and New Jersey governor’s races.

Roy Moore (Twitter)

Meanwhile, 2017 elections went quite well for the Democrats, and 2018 is the year of hustle for the party. The Democratic Party is looking to net the coveted 24 seats to retake the House. The Republican party holds a 52 seat majority in the Senate.

A total of 468 seats in the U.S. Congress (33 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) are up for elections on November 6, 2018.

Here’s a list of the five most important house races of 2018, which will play a crucial role in revealing the trend of who will dominate in the House race battleground in the coming year:

U.S. Rep. Peter Roskam (R-IL) speaks during a press conference (Getty Images)

5. Illinois’ 6th Congressional District poll

The Republicans had a good stint in 2016 polls where they seemed pretty popular in the suburbs of many states. Trump, in 2016 elections, won a modest 50 percent to 45 percent victory in the suburbs while losing handily to Clinton in urban areas 59 percent to 35 percent.

The tide, however, appears to be moving against the Republican representatives this time around. While GOP Rep. Peter Roskam won re-election in 2016 by a heavy margin, the Illinois 6th District saw a major shift, with Trump losing the region by 7 points after Mitt Romney had carried the district sear by 8 points in 2012.

There are a total of seven Democrats who have signed up to run against Roskam, and Kelly Mazeski — who picked up an EMILY’s List endorsement — appears to be heading the pack.

Ever since President Trump took office in January 2017, the local Republican candidates — in Virginia, New Jersey and few special congressional polls — have witnessed a significant fall in the suburbs. This trend is a blaring warning sign for Roskam and other Republicans representatives in the suburbs of New York Los Angeles, Detroit, Kansas City and others who are looking to contest in 2018 polls.

Salt Lake Mayor Ben McAdams (left) talks to the press (Wikimedia Commons)

4. Utah’s 4th Congressional district

Utah’s rural voters assisted in a big way in Trump’s victory last year. Therefore, Democrats are eyeing the red countryside too, and hoping to turn it blue this time. Democratic candidates — Salt Lake Mayor Ben McAdams and former candidate for Kansas governor Paul Davis — are gearing up for the district’s race.

McAdams won his first mayor’s race in Utah in 2012, even when Mormon Republicans came out in heaps to vote for Mitt Romney. “I have a reputation as someone who gets things done by working across party lines,” McAdams said, according to Politico. He added that he expects similar results to 2012, in his bid against Republican Rep. Mia Love.

While Davis is running a different campaign than most of the “resistance”-style Democratic candidates across in the country. Davis has said that he expects to see a “new leadership in both the political parties” and has said that he would not support Democrat Nancy Pelosi as speaker. The approach may as well work with the rural voters, who appear to be disappointed with the current leaders in top positions.

GOP Rep. Ed Royce addressing a rally (Getty Images)

3. California’s 39th Congressional District

2016 Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton carried GOP Rep. Ed Royce’s district in last year’s elections. Although the particular district had never been a prime priority for Democratic candidates, Clinton’s popularity in the region has attracted many candidates from the party for the 2018 polls.

The poll for 39th District of California is also set to be one of the most expensive races of 2018, with many candidates spending their own fortunes for the campaign. Two Democrats — Andy Thorburn, a health insurance executive, and Gil Cisneros, a former naval officer who won the lottery — are funding most of their own election bid. While, Democrat Mai Khanh Tran — who is a physician — has been endorsed by EMILY’s List.

Reports state that six candidates running in the Southern California seat raised more than $4.1 million in one-quarter last year. With still more than five months to go until the primaries, the amount is expected to be much more than that.

Rep. Rick Nolan, (D-MN) (R), and Rep. Walter Jones, (R-NC), speak to the media about a constitutional amendment (Getty Images)

2. Minnesota’s 8th Congressional district

Things may not be so bleak for the Republicans in 2018 after all, as they are optimistic about competing in a few Democratic-held seats which President Trump won handily in 2016’s elections.

Democratic Rep. Rick Nolan is used to facing tough competition by now as he was met head-on by the Republicans in his district in the last three polls. However, some of the Democratic Representatives like the Pennsylvania Rep. Matt Cartwright saw a sharp turn against his party in 2016 as many supported the Republicans. Cartwright will face a tough challenge in the 2018 House battle for the first time, as he is up against Republican John Chrin, who almost outraised him last quarter.

Reports state that these predominantly white and rural districts seem to be increasingly turning away from the Democrats, and this could turn in favor of the Republicans next year.

Rep. Ruben Kihuen (D-NV), Rep. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) and Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) join fellow members of the Nevada congressional delegation to mark one month after the shooting in Las Vegas. (Getty Images)

1. Nevada’s 4th Congressional district

Sexual harassment scandals made big news in 2017, even in politics upending nearly three battleground seats in November. Two leading Democratic candidates — in Kansas and Pennsylvania — withdrew themselves from the primaries after being accused of sexual misconduct.

Andrea Ramsey dropped out after a 2005 harassment suit surfaced, while state Sen. Daylin Leach was accused of inappropriate touching by former staffers.

While, in Nevada, Rep. Ruben Kihuen announced that he would not run for reelection after a former lobbyist and a former campaign aide accused Kihuen of sexual harassment.

Nevada, Kansas and Pennsylvania districts are battleground seats for the Democrats who are looking to clinching a House majority this time around. However, it appears to be a difficult task to win these seats without an incumbent and a taint of sexual harassment scandals on their representatives.

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